Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tuzla Belediyesi Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)


	Tuzlaspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3.1	2.95	Watch
	2.57	3.2	2.88
	2.57	3.2	2.88
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.56	3.15	2.86	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.59)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Umraniyespor
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Koyuncu E. (G) 22. Cinar Z. 33. Akkan G. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 44. Bangoura S. 12. Ba M. 10. Akarslan M. 28. Togui W. 17. Mamba S. 21. Umar A.	35. Damlu A. (G) 22. Yildiz U. 97. Cavare D. 44. Glumac T. 75. Kaplan E. 8. Goksu S. 91. Diniyev C. 19. Ilhami S. 16. Babacan A. 11. Ayik O. 9. Saponjic I.
Substitutes
15. Aktas A. 3. Awuku P. 77. Bas S. 19. Ciftci H. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 11. Kose A. 18. Novikovas A. 7. Stankovski L. 90. Tasdemir B. A. 99. Yurt K. (G)	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 17. Arici B. 20. Ayaroglu H. 27. Bulut E. 58. Cukur T. 14. Demir E. 4. Eser M. 6. Mert M. 7. Okutan M. 2. Titebah N.
Coaches
Kocabiyik G.	Dagasan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Ayik O. ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
24', Ilhami S. 🟨,
34', Yildiz U. 🟨,
39', Cinar Z. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Mamba S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ilhami S. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
70', Akarslan M. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
70', Cinar Z. ↓, Bas S. ↑,
70', Bangoura S. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
70', Umar A. ↓, Novikovas A. ↑,
74', Babacan A. ↓, Okutan M. ↑,
81', Ayik O. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
82', Saponjic I. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
84', Mamba S. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
90+5', Diniyev C. ↓, Ayaroglu H. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
17.03.24	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Kocaelispor - Tuzlaspor	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTTL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
17.03.24	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	Umraniyespor - Altay	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Umraniyespor - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.11.23	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	1:1
01.04.22	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1
31.10.21	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	2:1
14.03.21	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1
07.11.20	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	1:1

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