Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Salamanca		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.58	3.5	5.38
	1.58	3.47	5.38
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.59	3.75	5.46
	1.57	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.41)	3.6 ↓ (4.33)	5.4 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
57.9%

Draw
25.3%

Gran Peña
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salamanca's form might have worsened.

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salamanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Salamanca - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Gran Peña - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.06.24	Salamanca - Atlético Tordesillas	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Salamanca	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	Salamanca - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTW
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Gran Peña - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	UD Ourense - Gran Peña	3:3 ✺
26.05.24	Gran Peña - Sarriana	4:1 ✺
18.05.24	Sarriana - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Gran Peña - Salamanca	0:1

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