Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Campanha (Porto)


	Salgueiros 08		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.05	2.3
	2.8	3.09	2.36
	2.85	3.10	2.38	Watch
	2.87	3.08	2.34
	2.28	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.45 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salgueiros 08
33.4%

Draw
29.5%

Leça
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salgueiros 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salgueiros 08's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salgueiros 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salgueiros 08 - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salgueiros won 3.

In recent matches, Salgueiros has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leça is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leça may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salgueiros won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Salgueiros won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.11.25	Vila Real - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Salgueiros 08 - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Aparecida - Salgueiros 08	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Salgueiros 08 - Resende	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Salgueiros 08	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.25	Leça - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Anadia - Leça	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Leça - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	União Lamas - Leça	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Leça - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1
08.12.24	Leça - Salgueiros 08	0:2
26.02.23	Leça - Salgueiros 08	1:2
13.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	2:1
28.05.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:0
24.04.22	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1
29.01.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	4:2

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