Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Salon urheilupuisto (Salo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Salon Palloilijat		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.13
	2.83	3.85	2.29
	2.97	3.7	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.64	2.16
	2.9	3.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.97)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salon Palloilijat
32.2%

Draw
25%

JäPS
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

23.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

23.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salon Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Salon Palloilijat - JäPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vetri L. (G) 22. Gassama M. 14. Helle T. 7. Kaijasilta N. 9. Lehtisalo O. 3. Meura J. (C) 29. Mohamed F. 24. Olanrewaju M. 6. Rautiola M. 26. Tiihonen A. 2. Urgenc B.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 26. Ahadi M. 5. Arminen T. 21. Holopainen J. 31. Isaksson K. 6. Jama O. 30. Mabinda J. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 14. Tapani J. (C) 18. Virtanen J.
Substitutes
16. Karttila A. 1. Koski J. (G) 8. Mehmeti A. 18. Poysa S. 5. Rautiainen O. 11. Rrustemi E. 28. Salonen J. 17. Serdarevic A.	10. Ahola V. 23. Hahl H. 3. Haikonen P. 8. Heidari R. 22. Jarvinen T. 1. Laiho J. (G) 2. Palmasto T. 41. Salo J. 27. Soderlund I.
Coaches
Virtanen I.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Gassama M. ⚽, Olanrewaju M. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Isaksson K. ⚽, Ahadi M. (A),
37', Gassama M. 🟨,
38', Mohamed F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isaksson K. ↓, Ahola V. ↑,
50', Olander H. 🟨,
66', Virtanen J. ↓, Jarvinen T. ↑,
69', (Pen),
71', Olanrewaju M. ↓, Poysa S. ↑,
79', Holopainen J. ↓, Hahl H. ↑,
86', Gassama M. ↓, Rrustemi E. ↑,
90+2', Rautiola M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Ykkonen and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 2.

SalPa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, JäPS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, JäPS has had a series of away games.

JäPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that JäPS will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, SalPa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SalPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	HJS - Salon Palloilijat	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.05.25	Lahti - Salon Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Salon Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	JIPPO - Salon Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.25	Salon Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JäPS
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	Kiffen 08 - JäPS	0:6 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
02.05.25	JäPS - TPS	0:6 ✺
27.04.25	Ekenäs - JäPS	4:2 ✺
23.04.25	Klubi 04 - JäPS	4:6 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	Futura Porvoo - JäPS	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
16.08.24	JäPS - Salon Palloilijat	0:2
19.06.24	Salon Palloilijat - JäPS	1:3
24.04.24	JäPS - Salon Palloilijat	2:3
Finnish Ykkonen
07.10.23	Salon Palloilijat - JäPS	1:2
28.06.23	JäPS - Salon Palloilijat	0:0
15.04.23	Salon Palloilijat - JäPS	2:1

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