Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Sammaurese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.09
	3.52	3.23	1.95
	3.57	3.22	1.97
	3.1	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.76)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.04 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sammaurese
27.1%

Draw
28.3%

Pistoiese
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sammaurese's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sammaurese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sammaurese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sammaurese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sammaurese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sammaurese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.02.25	Tau Altopascio - Sammaurese	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sammaurese - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Zenith Prato - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sammaurese - Tuttocuoio	5:0 ✺
19.01.25	Prato - Sammaurese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.9 WLTWL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
09.02.25	Tuttocuoio - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Ravenna - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pistoiese - Progresso	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Pistoiese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.24	Pistoiese - Sammaurese	4:1
04.02.24	Pistoiese - Sammaurese	0:2
08.10.23	Sammaurese - Pistoiese	1:1
16.04.23	Pistoiese - Sammaurese	0:0
04.12.22	Sammaurese - Pistoiese	3:2

Sammaurese - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide