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Current Win Probability
Sambiase 39.4%
Draw 27.9%
Nissa 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.1%
29.4%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
29.4%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambiase's performance.
Nissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambiase that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sambiase - Nissa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Sueva G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group I Playoffs and 9th).
Sambiase is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nissa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sambiase has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sambiase against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).