Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Sambiase		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.30	3.60
	1.89	3.10	3.60
	1.88	3.25	3.65
	1.9	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.20	3.60
	1.83	3.22	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	3.69 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambiase
48%

Draw
27.7%

Vigor Lamezia
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambiase has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambiase's form might have worsened.

Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Sambiase may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Sambiase is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sambiase in today's match, at odds of 1.72.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sambiase has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1 (averaging 0:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sambiase against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
20.09.26	Milazzo - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sambiase - Modica	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sambiase - Gela	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Reggina - Sambiase	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Sambiase - Nissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLT
- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
20.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Nissa - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Vigor Lamezia - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Milazzo - Vigor Lamezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
01.02.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	0:1
28.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sambiase	0:0

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