Match Info

GFA League - Round 22

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Samger		BST Galaxy

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	3.00	2.25	3.24	Watch
	2.6	2.6	2.9
	2.58	2.59	2.95
	2.6	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.63)	2.56 ↓ (2.62)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samger
34%

Draw
35.4%

BST Galaxy
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

35%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

34.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

BST Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samger than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BST Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Samger - BST Galaxy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samger won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Samger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	BST Galaxy	30	9	12	9	29:32	-3	39
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	-4	32

Last Results with these Odds

BST Galaxy - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samger FC
Gambian GFA League
18.04.26	Brikama United - Samger	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Team Rhino - Samger	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Samger - Medina United	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	TMT - Samger	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Samger - Gambia Ports Authority	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWLLW
- BST Galaxy
Gambian GFA League
18.04.26	BST Galaxy - Medina United	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	TMT - BST Galaxy	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	BST Galaxy - Gambia Ports Authority	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Banjul Hawks - BST Galaxy	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	BST Galaxy - Gambian Dutch Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
19.01.26	BST Galaxy - Samger	1:1
16.04.24	BST Galaxy - Samger	1:1
03.12.23	Samger - BST Galaxy	1:0

Samger - BST Galaxy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide