Match Info

GFA League - Round 19

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Samger		Medina United

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.73	2.76
	2.89	2.75	2.65	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.7
	2.61	2.74	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.79)	2.71 ↓ (2.79)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samger
33.6%

Draw
33.2%

Medina United
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Medina United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samger than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Samger - Medina United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Colley P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Samger has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Medina United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Medina United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samger won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	9	54
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	-4	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samger FC
Gambian GFA League
23.03.26	TMT - Samger	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Samger - Gambia Ports Authority	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Samger - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Gambian Dutch Lions - Samger	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Bombada - Samger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWTLW
- Medina United FA
Gambian GFA League
23.03.26	Team Rhino - Medina United	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Medina United - TMT	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Medina United - Banjul Hawks	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Banjul Hawks - Medina United	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Gambian Dutch Lions - Medina United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
05.01.26	Medina United - Samger	0:0

Samger - Medina United