Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
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Sampaio Corrêa |
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Moto Club de São Luís |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.75 |
2.98 |
4.95 |
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 |
1.76 |
3.07 |
5.12 |
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 |
1.78 |
2.98 |
5.24 |
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1.75 |
2.9 |
4.75 |
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1.76 |
2.98 |
5.07 |
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1.92 |
2.92 |
4.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.9) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
4.89 ↑
(4.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa
50.8% | Draw
30.6% | Moto Club de São Luís
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Peu C. ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 0, Felipe Caua ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 0, Gean ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 0, Felipe Caua ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Moto Club may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Sampaio Corrêa - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 06.05.26 | Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense | | | 21.01.26 | Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:0 | | 05.04.25 | Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:0 | | 01.02.25 | Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís | 1:1 | | 23.03.24 | Moto Club de São Luís - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:0 | | 03.02.24 | Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís | 2:0 | | 12.03.23 | Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís | 0:2 |
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