Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 1 - Round 19

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Campo Sportivo Tre Campanili (Bogliasco)


	Sampdoria U20		Genoa U20

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.85	1.64
	4.62	4.15	1.65	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4.56	4	1.59
	4.3	3.85	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.94)	3.89 ↑ (3.54)	1.63 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria U20
20.6%

Draw
23.5%

Genoa U20
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria U20's form might have worsened.

Genoa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria U20 than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa U20 than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genoa U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Sampdoria U20 - Genoa U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sampdoria U20 will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Genoa U20 will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Scardigno N. (G) 4. Malanca L. 6. D'amore F. 8. Patrignani G. 9. Lukisa S. 11. Ovalle Santos A. 16. Boiro Balde I. 18. Casalino T. 23. Thiago 30. Bacic M. 38. Paganotti M.	1. Lysionok E. (G) 15. Ferroni L. 4. Barbini M. 45. Deseri G. 72. Arata S. 8. Rossi G. 14. Fazio T. 36. Arboscello R. 10. Romano M. 17. Papastylianou L. 22. Ghirardello T.
Substitutes
35. Bjorkman R. 26. Cavallaro M. 22. Ceppi L. (G) 29. Diagne M. 37. Fisher M. 21. Forte G. 19. Giolfo M. 36. Marchese C. 28. Papasergio A. 27. Rossello S.	71. Carbone F. 37. Colonnese L. 19. Dorgu I. 29. Doucoure M. 73. Grossi J. 27. Magalotti G. (G) 24. Mendolia M. 9. Nuredini X. 30. Pagliari A. 18. Pallavicini M. 34. Pastore F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Deseri G. 🟨,
44', Ghirardello T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Ghirardello T. ⚽,
63', Casalino T. ↓, Rossello S. ↑,
63', D'amore F. ↓, Forte G. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Barbini M. ⚽,
75', Arboscello R. 🟥,
77', Romano M. ↓, Grossi J. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Boiro Balde I. ⚽,
84', Boiro Balde I. 🟨,
85', Papastylianou L. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
86', Ovalle Santos A. 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primavera 2 and 10).

Sampdoria U20 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Genoa U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Genoa U20 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria U20
Italian Primavera 1
05.01.25	Sassuolo U20 - Sampdoria U20	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	Sampdoria U20 - Lecce U20	3:1 ✺
18.12.24	Roma U20 - Sampdoria U20	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Cagliari U20 - Sampdoria U20	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Sampdoria U20 - Milan U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLTL
- Genoa U20
Italian Primavera 1
04.01.25	Genoa U20 - Monza U20	1:4 ✺
23.12.24	Verona U20 - Genoa U20	0:4 ✺
18.12.24	Genoa U20 - Empoli U20	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Genoa U20 - Lecce U20	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Cesena U20 - Genoa U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT

Sampdoria U20 - Genoa U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide