Match Info

ITALY: Primavera 1 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo Sportivo Tre Campanili (Bogliasco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Sampdoria U20		Milan U20

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.75	1.81
	3.52	3.8	1.91
	3.66	3.77	1.9	Watch
	3.54	3.7	1.83
	3.55	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (5.2)	3.75 ↓ (4.5)	1.85 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria U20
25.8%

Draw
24.5%

Milan U20
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

20.2%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.6%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampdoria U20's performance.

Milan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria U20 than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampdoria U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan U20 than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sampdoria U20 - Milan U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	20. Longoni A. (G)
	2. Bakoune A.
	34. Comotto C.
	13. Dutu M.
	80. Eletu V.
	11. Ibrahimovic M.
	6. Paloschi D.
	29. Perera N.
	7. Perrucci V.
	8. Sala E.
	71. Siman A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Sala E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 1 - 3, ⚽,
61', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria U20
Italian Primavera 1
30.11.24	Verona U20 - Sampdoria U20	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Sampdoria U20 - Juventus U20	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Udinese U20 - Sampdoria U20	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Sampdoria U20 - Bologna U20	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lazio U20 - Sampdoria U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Milan U20
Italian Primavera 1
02.12.24	Milan U20 - Roma U20	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Lecce U20 - Milan U20	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Milan U20 - Cagliari U20	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Milan U20 - Verona U20	3:0 ✺
28.10.24	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Sampdoria U20 - Milan U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide