Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)


	Samsunspor		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
	1.31	5	8
	1.32	4.25	7.5
	1.3	4.8	7.4
	1.31	5.59	9.43
	1.3	4.4	8.5
	1.29	5.15	8.3
	1.31	4.9	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	4.89 ↑ (4.25)	7.97 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
69.9%

Draw
18.7%

Denizlispor
11.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

19.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Samsunspor - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 3.

Samsunspor in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Denizlispor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Denizlispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Samsunspor is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Samsunspor to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
27.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Samsunspor - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
06.11.22	Samsunspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWW
- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
25.11.22	Denizlispor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
10.11.22	Denizlispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish First League
06.11.22	Denizlispor - Tuzlaspor	4:3 ✺
29.10.22	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.02.22	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	5:0
27.09.21	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	2:3
22.04.18	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	2:2
10.12.17	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	0:0
24.04.16	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	2:1
05.12.15	Denizlispor - Samsunspor	0:0
23.05.15	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
01.11.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	✺

Samsunspor - Denizlispor