Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 15

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Denizlispor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.53
	4.75	3.9	1.58
	4.5	3.7	1.6
	4.8	4	1.53
	5.3	4.35	1.58
	5	3.8	1.55
	4.85	4.15	1.55
	4.8	4.1	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.1)	4 ↑ (3.4)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
18.8%

Draw
22.8%

Bodrumspor
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodrumspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Denizlispor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Denizlispor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodrumspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodrumspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Degismez E. (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
19.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
10.11.22	Denizlispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish First League
06.11.22	Denizlispor - Tuzlaspor	4:3 ✺
29.10.22	Göztepe - Denizlispor	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Denizlispor - Altınordu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
20.11.22	Bodrumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Pendikspor - Bodrumspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Altınordu - Bodrumspor	0:1 ET ✺
Turkish First League
05.11.22	Bodrumspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWT

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