Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Samut Prakan City		Chiangrai United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.68	3.4	4.2
	1.74	3.45	4.1
	1.76	3.61	4.57
	1.78	3.25	3.8
	1.79	3.66	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.94)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	4.15 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
51.9%

Draw
26.2%

Chiangrai United
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

30%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samut Prakan City's performance.

Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chiangrai United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiangrai United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Samut Prakan City - Chiangrai United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Samut Prakan City will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Chiangrai United will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samut Prakan City: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 7).

Recent matches Samut Prakan City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chiangrai United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chiangrai United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Samut Prakan City is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
30.04.22	Samut Prakan City - Khonkaen United	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Suphanburi - Samut Prakan City	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Muangthong United - Samut Prakan City	5:2 ✺
20.03.22	Samut Prakan City - Chonburi	1:2 ✺
09.03.22	Samut Prakan City - Pathum United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Chiangrai United
AFC Champions League
28.04.22	Chiangrai United - Kitchee	2:3 ✺
25.04.22	Chiangrai United - Vissel Kobe	0:0 ✺
22.04.22	Vissel Kobe - Chiangrai United	6:0 ✺
16.04.22	Kitchee - Chiangrai United	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
10.04.22	Chiangrai United - Suphanburi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
05.09.21	Chiangrai United - Samut Prakan City	2:2
28.03.21	Chiangrai United - Samut Prakan City	2:1
14.02.20	Samut Prakan City - Chiangrai United	1:1
11.08.19	Samut Prakan City - Chiangrai United	0:3
20.04.19	Chiangrai United - Samut Prakan City	1:1

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