Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday


	Samut Prakan City		Pathum United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.72
	3.1	3	2.16
	2.95	3	2.28
	3.16	3.08	2.36
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.16	3.15	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (4.09)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
27.3%

Draw
29.4%

Pathum United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

30.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

19.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samut Prakan City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pathum United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samut Prakan City - Pathum United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Samut Prakan City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Pathum United have a series of guest games.

In this match Pathum United is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
06.03.22	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Thai Port - Samut Prakan City	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Samut Prakan City - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTLL
- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
05.03.22	Bangkok United - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Pathum United - Suphanburi	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Police Tero - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
16.02.22	Police Tero - Pathum United	1:0 ET ✺
Thai League 1
12.02.22	Chiangrai United - Pathum United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
13.11.21	Pathum United - Samut Prakan City	1:0
28.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Pathum United	0:6
17.10.20	Pathum United - Samut Prakan City	2:2

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