Match Info

THAILAND: League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 4


	Samut Prakan City		Nakhon Pathom United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.55
				Watch
	2.24	3.43	2.54
				Watch
	3.1	3.75	1.95
	2.31	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.73)	3.47 ↓ (3.8)	2.45 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
36.6%

Draw
26.2%

Nakhon Pathom United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nakhon Pathom United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nakhon Pathom United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Pathom United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Nakarawong T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Kamnet N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Chaolaokhwan S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 2
26.10.24	Samut Prakan City - Pattaya United	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Chanthaburi - Samut Prakan City	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Samut Prakan City - Suphanburi	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Kasetsart - Samut Prakan City	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Samut Prakan City - Police Tero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWLT
- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
26.10.24	Pathum United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Thai Port - Nakhon Pathom United	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
30.04.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Samut Prakan City	2:0
14.08.22	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Pathom United	0:1

Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Pathom United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide