Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium (Nakhon Pathom)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 3


	Nakhon Pathom United		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.21
	2.09	3.54	3.05	Watch
	2	3.5	2.9
	2.07	3.46	3.06	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.09)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nakhon Pathom United
43.8%

Draw
25.9%

Sukhothai
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Srathongjan W. (G) 65. Auksornsri T. 5. Filipovic V. 30. Creevey M. 33. Sangrum A. 6. Phupha J. 13. Ablorh L. 4. Nakarawong T. 21. Prachobklang N. 11. Valdo 10. Ito T.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 15. Promsupa S. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 4. Seebunmee A. 17. Mhuaddarak T. 7. Thiamrat L. 21. Denman A. 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S. 9. Mateus
Substitutes
59. Buathong W. (G) 29. Changthong A. 66. Chaolaokhwan S. 14. Chim-ong T. 3. Chuchai C. 27. Jaiphet A. 8. Kokfai N. 19. Montree T. 55. Otton C. 31. Phumipha E. A. 99. Tumsuwan S. 2. Worapanichkan M.	91. Banhan T. 13. Beraheng A. 11. Fornazari M. 14. Ishimoto E. 1. Kamsuprom I. (G) 5. Matsui H. 19. Ngrnbukkol A. 16. Phatthaphon P. 12. Polmart J. 3. Suksakit P. 23. Tisud C. 6. Wachpirom J.
Coaches
Yodyardthai S.	Chalitaporn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽, Denman A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Nakarawong T. ↓, Chaolaokhwan S. ↑,
67', Prachobklang N. ↓, Tumsuwan S. ↑,
70', Chatthong S. ↓, Polmart J. ↑,
79', Ablorh L. 🟨,
80', Mateus ↓, Fornazari M. ↑,
80', Baggio J. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
83', Sangrum A. ↓, Jaiphet A. ↑,
83', Phupha J. ↓, Kokfai N. ↑,
88', Kokfai N. 🟨,
90+3', Logarwit S. 🟨,
90+11', Logarwit S. ↓, Wachpirom J. ↑,
90+12', Denman A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12).

Nakhon Pathom United has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sukhothai is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakhon Pathom United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakhon Pathom United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
20.09.24	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Buriram United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:0 ✺
29.08.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Bangkok United	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
21.09.24	Sukhothai - Lamphun Warriors	4:0 ✺
15.09.24	Muangthong United - Sukhothai	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sukhothai - Uthai Thani	2:3 ✺
27.08.24	Thai Port - Sukhothai	4:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sukhothai - Prachuap	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
07.04.24	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1
05.11.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	2:2
Thai League 2
19.03.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Sukhothai	1:0
07.11.21	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1

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