Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Samut Prakan City		Nakhon Ratchasima

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.6
	5.5	3.58	1.55
	4.95	3.6	1.61
	5	3.55	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.13)	3.58 ↑ (3.34)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
17.7%

Draw
25.2%

Nakhon Ratchasima
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.8%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nakhon Ratchasima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 0.

Recent matches Samut Prakan City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakhon Ratchasima is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Nakhon Ratchasima is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 2
16.09.23	MOF Customs United - Samut Prakan City	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Samut Prakan City - Chiangmai United	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Nakhon Si United - Samut Prakan City	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Samut Prakan City - Chiangmai	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Pattaya United - Samut Prakan City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLLW
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 2
17.09.23	Nakhon Ratchasima - Krabi	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Lampang - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Nakhon Ratchasima - Kasetsart	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chanthaburi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
06.03.22	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:1
23.10.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Samut Prakan City	1:0
24.02.21	Nakhon Ratchasima - Samut Prakan City	0:0
04.10.20	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:2
22.09.19	Nakhon Ratchasima - Samut Prakan City	4:1
29.05.19	Samut Prakan City - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0

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