Match Info

THAILAND: League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Chainat		Nakhon Ratchasima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.83
				Watch
	3.88	3.46	1.85
	3.81	3.56	1.84	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	3.97	3.55	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chainat
23.8%

Draw
26%

Nakhon Ratchasima
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

22.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chainat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chainat than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kareesor S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 2 - 0, Phranmaen T. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Jittabud T. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Kunmee S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chainat won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Nakhon Ratchasima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nakhon Ratchasima is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chainat won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Chainat won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chainat FC
Thai League 2
27.10.24	Mahasarakham - Chainat	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Chainat - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Lampang - Chainat	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Chainat - Bangkok FC	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Chiangmai United - Chainat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT
- Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Thai League 1
26.10.24	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Thai Port	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ratchaburi - Nakhon Ratchasima	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
07.01.24	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chainat	1:1
19.08.23	Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima	0:1
Thai League 1
20.10.19	Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:3
15.06.19	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chainat	2:1
21.07.18	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chainat	1:0
31.03.18	Chainat - Nakhon Ratchasima	1:2
29.06.16	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chainat	1:0

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