Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Samut Prakan City		Prachuap

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.2	3.25
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	2.13	3.15	3.1
	2.26	3.06	3.39
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.17	3.4	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.24)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
43.2%

Draw
28.4%

Prachuap
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

18.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Prachuap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samut Prakan City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prachuap than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Prachuap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Prachuap Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).

Samut Prakan City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Prachuap is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Prachuap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Samut Prakan City have a series of guest games.

Samut Prakan City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League 1
12.02.22	Samut Prakan City - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	4:1 ✺
Thai League 1
06.02.22	Chiangmai United - Samut Prakan City	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Bangkok United - Samut Prakan City	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ratchaburi - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT
- Prachuap FC
Thai League 1
13.02.22	Prachuap - Bangkok United	1:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Chainat - Prachuap	1:3 ✺
Thai League 1
06.02.22	Buriram United - Prachuap	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Nakhon Ratchasima - Prachuap	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Prachuap - Chiangrai United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
10.10.21	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:0
21.02.21	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	4:0
27.09.20	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	0:3
24.08.19	Prachuap - Samut Prakan City	2:0
18.05.19	Samut Prakan City - Prachuap	1:1

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