Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Samut Prakan City		Buriram United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	3.9	1.44
	5.3	3.8	1.48	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	6.53	3.91	1.53
	7.5	3.8	1.36
	5.65	3.96	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5.6)	3.88 ↓ (3.94)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samut Prakan City
15.1%

Draw
23.5%

Buriram United
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

23.6%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.4%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samut Prakan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samut Prakan City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buriram United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samut Prakan City - Buriram United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Samut Prakan City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Buriram is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Samut Prakan City have a series of guest games.

In this match Buriram is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Samut Prakan City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Samut Prakan City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samut Prakan City FC
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	4:1 ✺
Thai League 1
06.02.22	Chiangmai United - Samut Prakan City	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Bangkok United - Samut Prakan City	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Ratchaburi - Samut Prakan City	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Samut Prakan City - Police Tero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTT
- Buriram United
Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	4:1 ✺
Thai League 1
06.02.22	Buriram United - Prachuap	1:2 ✺
02.02.22	Police Tero - Buriram United	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Muangthong United - Buriram United	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Buriram United - Bangkok United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League Cup
09.02.22	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	4:1
Thai League 1
06.10.21	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	2:1
14.03.21	Samut Prakan City - Buriram United	1:2
29.11.20	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	1:3
27.07.19	Samut Prakan City - Buriram United	1:4
30.03.19	Buriram United - Samut Prakan City	3:2

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