Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	San Bartolomé		Lanzarote

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.5	3.15	2.65
	2.42	3.1	2.67
	2.43	3.05	2.7
	2.5	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.2)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2.61 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Bartolomé
36.5%

Draw
28.9%

Lanzarote
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

31.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Bartolomé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Bartolomé's performance.

Lanzarote has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanzarote might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Bartolomé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanzarote could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Bartolomé - Lanzarote Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Assouman K. J. (Pen),
8', 1 - 1, Martin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Bartolomé CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
25.01.25	Arucas - San Bartolomé	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Bartolomé - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	San Bartolomé - Unión Viera	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Estrella - San Bartolomé	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	San Bartolomé - Arcángel San Miguel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW
- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.01.25	Lanzarote - Santa Úrsula	7:0 ✺
19.01.25	Buzanada - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Marino - Lanzarote	2:4 ✺
22.12.24	Lanzarote - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Villa de Santa Brígida - Lanzarote	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
10.02.24	San Bartolomé - Lanzarote	1:2

San Bartolomé - Lanzarote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide