Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Marino |
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Lanzarote |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.02 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
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2.5 |
3.1 |
2.78 |
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4.89 |
1.46 |
5.20 |
Watch |
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2.45 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
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2.47 |
2.97 |
2.69 |
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2.6 |
3 |
2.62 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.02) |
2.79 ↓ (3.31) |
3.21 ↓ (3.26) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marino 34.6% | Draw 35% | Lanzarote 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino's form might have worsened.Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Marino - Lanzarote Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino won 1.Marino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Lanzarote is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Marino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Lanzarote has had a series of away games. Marino will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 1:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, Marino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | CD Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 7 |
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| 10 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 | | | 05.10.25 | Lanzarote - Marino | 2:1 | | 11.05.25 | Lanzarote - Marino | 3:0 | | 11.01.25 | Marino - Lanzarote | 2:4 | | 03.12.23 | Marino - Lanzarote | 2:7 | | 05.02.23 | Marino - Lanzarote | 1:0 | | 02.10.22 | Lanzarote - Marino | 2:0 | | 12.02.22 | Lanzarote - Marino | 1:0 |
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