Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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San Bartolomé |
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Villa de Santa Brígida |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.3 |
3 |
2.92 |
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2.37 |
3.06 |
2.91 |
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2.36 |
3.07 |
2.95 |
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2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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2.35 |
2.98 |
2.94 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.33) |
2.98 ↑ (2.98) |
2.92 ↓ (2.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Bartolomé 38.5% | Draw 30.4% | Villa de Santa Brígida 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Bartolomé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Villa de Santa Brígida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Santa Brígida than the current prediction. (-0.8%)San Bartolomé - Villa de Santa Brígida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 2 - 1, Chicha ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).San Bartolomé is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Santa Brígida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Bartolomé won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
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| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;