Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday
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Unión Sur Yaiza |
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San Bartolomé |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
3.15 |
3.05 |
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2.21 |
3.27 |
3.03 |
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2.22 |
3.2 |
3.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (2.1) |
3.21 ↑ (3.15) |
3.04 ↓ (3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Unión Sur Yaiza 41.8% | Draw 28.4% | San Bartolomé 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)San Bartolomé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (-1.9%)Unión Sur Yaiza - San Bartolomé Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).Unión Sur Yaiza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).San Bartolomé's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Unión Sur Yaiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Unión Sur Yaiza might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Sur Yaiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Unión Sur Yaiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
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| 15 | Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;