The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Carlos 30.9%
Draw 29.5%
Sporting San José 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
29.2%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
29.1%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Sporting San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
San Carlos - Sporting San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vega J. (G) 17. Evans J. 22. Aguero J. 6. Piedra Y. 24. Rivera Stuart J. 8. Hernandez E. 10. Cerdas K. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 20. Agualimpia C. 21. Venegas J. 9. Martinez B.
23. Moreira L. (G) 35. Batista J. 5. Soto A. 26. Gonzalez G. (C) 27. Chevez A. 22. Salas Y. 8. Pineda C. 16. Blandon K. 19. Mendez J. 28. Navarro J. 11. Carballo R.
Substitutes
30. Aguero P. 15. Carmona A. 4. Fonseca P. 7. Guevara A. 5. Martinez C. 27. Masis D. 41. Pilarte J. 2. Valverde J. 77. Vega J. (G) 88. Vidal R.
14. Colindres D. 3. Espinoza K. 9. George Clayton M. 98. Gomez I. 99. Leal R. (G) 6. Leiva G. 10. Lopez A. 33. Pastrana E. 7. Pinto J. 2. Salinas Y.
Coaches
Centeno W.
Carevic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Cerdas K. 🟨,
31', Mendez J. 🟨,
39', Hernandez E. ↓, Aguero P. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽,
45+2', Pineda C. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Navarro J. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
46', Blandon K. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
55', Carballo R. ↓, George Clayton M. ↑,
60', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 1.
In recent matches, San Carlos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting San José is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sporting San José may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, San Carlos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).