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Current Win Probability
Cartagines 57.3%
Draw 24.9%
San Carlos 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
24.8%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
21.3%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagines that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Carlos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Cartagines - San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (C) 2. Cordero R. 18. Barahona C. 5. Pereira M. 24. Zuniga S. 15. Flores L. 8. Lopez D. 26. Alfaro B. 6. Montero C. 13. Gaete J. 32. Lanfranchi E.
1. Gonzalez M. (G) 4. Fonseca P. 22. Aguero J. 5. Martinez C. 16. Castillo G. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 10. Cerdas K. 7. Guevara A. 21. Venegas J. 18. Aguilar J. 19. McDonald J.
Substitutes
40. Alvarado F. 30. Brizuela B. 22. Castrillo D. 16. Castro G. 3. Faerron F. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 4. Hernandez M. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 21. Marquez R. 31. Mora J.
15. Calvo A. 33. Castro G. 17. Evans J. 38. Gomez K. 46. Gomez S. 30. Masis D. 20. Rivera R. 42. Rodriguez D. 26. Rojas O. 23. Vega J. (G)
Coaches
Villatoro A.
Centeno W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', McDonald J. 🟥,
11', Cordero R. ↓, Faerron F. ↑,
11', Fonseca P. 🟨,
25', Barahona C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Gaete J. ⚽,
39', Cerdas K. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
39', Fonseca P. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Venegas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Lanfranchi E. ⚽,
57', Guevara A. 🟨,
61', Aguilar J. ↓, Rojas O. ↑,
65', Montero C. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
66', Lanfranchi E. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
66', Cordoba R. 🟨,
67', Faerron F. 🟨,
74', Gaete J. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
74', Alfaro B. ↓, Castrillo D. ↑,
74', Guevara A. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
74', Cordoba R. ↓, Masis D. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 4.
In recent matches, Cartagines has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Carlos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cartagines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cartagines is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagines won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 2.5:1.5).
Costa-rica
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Briceno K. (C) 
Pereira M. 
Gaete J. 
Gonzalez M. (G) 
Castillo G. 
Aguilar J. 
Hernandez M. 
Marquez R. 
Gomez S. 
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