The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Cristóbal 38.3%
Draw 32.2%
Vilassar de Mar 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
31.3%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
30.3%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Cristóbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Vilassar de Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Cristóbal than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Cristóbal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilassar de Mar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
San Cristóbal - Vilassar de Mar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Olmo C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Vilassar de Mar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
San Cristóbal could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Cristóbal won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Cristóbal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
San Cristobal CP
4
1
1
2
4:8
-4
4
18
Vilassar de Mar
5
1
0
4
3:13
-10
3
Last Results with these Odds
Vilassar de Mar - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.