The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Wave 29.7%
Draw 27.6%
Washington Spirit 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
30%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
32.4%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego Wave's form might have worsened.
Washington Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Spirit's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Wave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Spirit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Wave - Washington Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Haracic D. (G) 16. Van Zanten A. D. 2. Wesley K. 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 10. Dali K. (C) 8. Ascanio K. 81. Gabi Portilho 11. Corley G. 88. Dudinha 15. Byars T.
18. Sandy MacIver (G) 14. Carle G. 24. Morgan E. 9. Rudd T. (C) 13. Di Guglielmo L. 17. Hershfelt H. 4. Bernal R. 11. Martinez Ovando C. 10. Santos L. 2. Rodman T. 27. Cantore S.
Substitutes
1. Agudelo L. (G) 30. Arias D. 7. Barcenas M. 18. Fazer L. 28. Fusco J. 22. Godfrey L. E. 17. Ludmila 33. Pickett K. 19. Wynalda T.
31. Collins K. (G) 35. Haugen M. 19. Kouassi R. 26. Metayer P. 21. Monday G. 12. Sullivan A. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 6. Wiesner K.
Coaches
Eidevall J.
Gonzalez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Byars T. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Bernal R. ⚽, Santos L. (A),
45+1', Rodman T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Corley G. ↓, Godfrey L. E. ↑,
46', Gabi Portilho ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
46', Martinez Ovando C. ↓, Kouassi R. ↑,
46', Byars T. ↓, Ludmila ↑,
54', Bernal R. 🟨,
66', Bernal R. ↓, Sullivan A. ↑,
73', Barcenas M. 🟨,
74', Cantore S. ↓, Monday G. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Ascanio K. ⚽, Dali K. (A),
89', Dudinha ↓, Wynalda T. ↑,
90+4', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Tamara Bolt ↑,
90+4', Carle G. ↓, Wiesner K. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 0.
San Diego Wave has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington Spirit is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, San Diego Wave has had a series of away games.
Washington Spirit is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Diego Wave W ✔
27
16
3
8
40:28
12
51
3
Washington Spirit W
27
15
4
8
39:26
13
49
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego Wave - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Africa
Australia
Brazil
Canada
Kenya
Nigeria
South-africa
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Haracic D. (G) 
Van Zanten A. D. 
Wesley K. 
Morroni P. 
Gabi Portilho 
Sandy MacIver (G) 
Carle G. 
Morgan E. 
Di Guglielmo L. 
Bernal R. 
Martinez Ovando C. 
Santos L. 
Kouassi R. 
Monday G. 
Eidevall J. 
Gonzalez A. 
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