The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Follonica Gavorrano 39.4%
Draw 32.7%
Orvietana 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
29.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
28.6%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orvietana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orvietana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.
In recent matches, Follonica Gavorrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orvietana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Orvietana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
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