Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 13

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	San Lorenzo 2		Defensa y Justicia 2

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	5.25
				Watch
	1.52	4.02	5.89
	1.47	3.96	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	3.91 ↑ (3.77)	5.68 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo 2
60.7%

Draw
23.3%

Defensa y Justicia 2
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Defensa y Justicia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for San Lorenzo 2 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

San Lorenzo 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Play Offs: ) and 13).

San Lorenzo 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Lorenzo 2 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.10.23	Boca Juniors 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	6:0 ✺
14.10.23	Platense 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:3 ✺
04.10.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT
- Defensa y Justicia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
25.10.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:2 ✺
18.10.23	Racing Club 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:2 ✺
13.10.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Lanús 2	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.23	Defensa y Justicia 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:1
01.09.22	San Lorenzo 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0
21.02.22	San Lorenzo 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:4

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