The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 2 41.1%
Draw 30.9%
San Lorenzo 2 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
30.8%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
29.4%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Newells Old Boys 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Montenegro L. 🟥,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Newells Old Boys 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Lorenzo 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Newells Old Boys 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Newells Old Boys 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Argentina
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