Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Luca		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	3.95	1.95	2.8
	2.5	2.85	2.6
	4.12	1.86	3.08
	2.55	3.13	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.69)	2.58 ↓ (2.74)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Luca
30%

Draw
36.2%

ACR Messina
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

33.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Luca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ACR Messina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	87%	4.3%

San Luca - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. San Luca will win (votes: 4 - 8.7%). ACR Messina will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 40 - 87%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 77.3% – 96.7%.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion).

San Luca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ACR Messina is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Luca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Luca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.05.21	San Luca - Licata	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	San Luca - Dattilo	5:2 ✺
21.04.21	Rotonda - San Luca	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	San Luca - Troina	3:1 ✺
14.04.21	Rende - San Luca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.05.21	ACR Messina - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Paternò - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
14.04.21	ACR Messina - Dattilo	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Castrovillari - ACR Messina	1:3 ✺
01.04.21	ACR Messina - Roccella	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
17.01.21	ACR Messina - San Luca	2:0

San Luca - ACR Messina