Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	San Luca		Cavese

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.9
	4.14	3.17	1.8
	4.86	3.1	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.24)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	1.83 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Luca
21.7%

Draw
28.9%

Cavese
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.8%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Luca's form might have worsened.

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches San Luca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cavese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cavese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cavese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Luca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.03.22	Lamezia Terme - San Luca	3:2 ✺
02.03.22	Santa Maria Cilento - San Luca	4:2 ✺
27.02.22	San Luca - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Gelbison Cilento - San Luca	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	San Luca - Licata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTT
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.03.22	Cavese - Castrovillari	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Biancavilla - Cavese	0:4 ✺
20.02.22	Cavese - Troina	4:0 ✺
16.02.22	Giarre - Cavese	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cavese - Sancataldese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
31.10.21	Cavese - San Luca	1:0

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