Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Cavese		Troina

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.25
	1.37	4.2	6.5
	1.36	4.29	6.87
	1.46	3.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	4.1 ↑ (3.54)	7.01 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
65.1%

Draw
22%

Troina
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

19.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavese's performance.

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Cavese - Troina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Cavese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Troina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cavese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cavese have a series of guest games.

In this match Cavese is a favorite.

Troina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cavese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.22	Giarre - Cavese	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cavese - Sancataldese	4:0 ✺
06.02.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Cavese	3:4 ✺
30.01.22	Rende - Cavese	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Acireale - Cavese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWW
- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.22	Troina - Città di SantAgata	2:3 ✺
12.02.22	Real Agro Aversa - Troina	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Troina - Paternò	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Portici - Troina	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Troina - Lamezia Terme	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
17.10.21	Troina - Cavese	2:1

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