Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Martín		Roces

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.38	3.82	7.5
	1.42	3.94	7.08
	1.5	3.75	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)	3.79 ↓ (4.32)	6.39 ↓ (8.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín
62%

Draw
23.8%

Roces
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

21%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

11.8%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín's form might have worsened.

Roces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roces than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roces could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín - Roces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

2nd Half ( - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
03.11.24	Lealtad - San Martín	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	San Martín - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Real Titánico - San Martín	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	San Martín - Tuilla	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Urraca - San Martín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLWT
- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
01.11.24	Roces - Caudal Deportivo	1:9 ✺
27.10.24	Condal - Roces	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Roces - Sporting de Gijón B	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Ceares - Roces	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Roces - Colunga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
02.04.22	Roces - San Martín	2:2
21.11.21	San Martín - Roces	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	San Martín - Roces	1:1
02.12.17	Roces - San Martín	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
31.10.26	Sporting de Gijón B - San Martín	✺

San Martín - Roces