Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	San Martín		Tuilla

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.65
	1.76	3.28	4.62
	1.27	5.37	9.54	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.71	3.26	4.75
	1.75	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.56 ↑ (3.35)	5.44 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín
56.5%

Draw
26.3%

Tuilla
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

21%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tuilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martín - Tuilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Cigales F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2.

Recent performances by San Martín have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tuilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, San Martín is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	EI San Martin	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
08.02.26	San Martín - Covadonga	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Avilés Stadium - San Martín	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Martín - Llanera	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Titánico - San Martín	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTW
- Tuilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
08.02.26	Tuilla - Mosconia	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Covadonga - Tuilla	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tuilla - Ceares	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Avilés Stadium - Tuilla	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caudal Deportivo - Tuilla	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Tuilla - San Martín	1:3
23.02.25	Tuilla - San Martín	2:1
13.10.24	San Martín - Tuilla	1:0
17.04.22	San Martín - Tuilla	2:4
08.12.21	Tuilla - San Martín	3:2
18.10.20	Tuilla - San Martín	0:1
02.12.18	Tuilla - San Martín	2:2

San Martín - Tuilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide