Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	San Martín de San Juan 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.87
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.45	3.22	2.05	Watch
	3.72	3.1	1.97
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.64)	3.16 ↓ (3.41)	1.98 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan 2
25.4%

Draw
28.7%

River Plate 2
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.4%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de San Juan 2's performance.

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and River Plate 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de San Juan 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

San Martín de San Juan 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Martín 2 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). River Plate 2 will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Freitas J. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Barrera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches San Martín 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Martín 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWTL
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.03.25	River Plate 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
20.03.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - River Plate 2	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	River Plate 2 - Independiente 2	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	San Lorenzo 2 - River Plate 2	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLT

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