Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Martino Speme		Adriese

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San Martino Speme
20.3%

Draw
25.6%

Adriese
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martino Speme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adriese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martino Speme than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adriese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

San Martino Speme has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Adriese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Martino Speme could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Adriese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martino Speme
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.12.21	San Martino Speme - Cattolica San Marino	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - San Martino Speme	4:0 ✺
05.12.21	San Martino Speme - Luparense	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Levico Terme - San Martino Speme	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	San Martino Speme - Mestre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.12.21	Adriese - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
08.12.21	Caldiero Terme - Adriese	2:3 ✺
04.12.21	Adriese - Cattolica San Marino	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Adriese	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Adriese - Levico Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTTW

San Martino Speme - Adriese