Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Martino Speme		Luparense

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.73
	4.05	3.3	1.75
	4.2	3.2	1.73
	3.83	3.19	1.73
	4.05	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.74)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martino Speme
22.2%

Draw
26.7%

Luparense
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

21%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martino Speme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martino Speme than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luparense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Martino Speme - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

San Martino Speme is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Luparense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Luparense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martino Speme
Italian Serie D - Group C
28.11.21	Levico Terme - San Martino Speme	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	San Martino Speme - Mestre	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Spinea - San Martino Speme	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	San Martino Speme - Delta Porto Tolle	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Cjarlins Muzane - San Martino Speme	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
28.11.21	Luparense - Este	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Luparense	0:3 ✺
14.11.21	Luparense - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Adriese - Luparense	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Luparense - Levico Terme	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLW

San Martino Speme - Luparense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

San Martino Speme - Luparense Predictions

Preview

Form

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