The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martino Speme 22.2%
Draw 26.7%
Luparense 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
27%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.1%
21%
62.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martino Speme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martino Speme than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luparense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Martino Speme - Luparense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
San Martino Speme is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Luparense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).