The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 2 13.9%
Draw 18.5%
Lanús 2 67.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.2%
20.8%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
20%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Lanús 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
San Martín de San Juan 2 - Lanús 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
San Martín 2 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lanús 2 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lanús 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Lanús 2 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, San Martín 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Martín 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.