Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	3.15 (3.15)	2.55 (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
35.6%

Draw
28.8%

Ostia Mare
35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Flaminia Civita Castellana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Ostia Mare have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Persichini L. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Sirbu D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Pinna P. ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, (Own goal),
67', 2 - 3, ⚽,
72', 3 - 3, ⚽,
77', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flaminia won 2.

Flaminia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Flaminia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Flaminia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.03.25	Poggibonsi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:4 ✺
01.03.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Fezzanese	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Orvietana - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWLT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.03.25	Ostia Mare - Trestina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fezzanese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ostia Mare - Fulgens Foligno	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
28.01.24	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group E
22.01.23	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1
28.02.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	1:2
11.10.20	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.12.18	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	2:2
01.10.17	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:2
26.03.17	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1

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