Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Sebastian Reyes B		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.10	2.50
	2.55	3.10	2.30
	2.51	3.43	2.49
	2.46	3.44	2.56	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.45
	2.49	3.62	2.49
	2.35	3.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.6)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes B
36.5%

Draw
26.8%

Rayo Vallecano B
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.4%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes B than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Sebastian Reyes B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes B - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, ⚽,
52', 2 - 3, ⚽,
63', 🟥,
74', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	San Sebastian Reyes B	8	2	1	5	14:21	-7	7
17	Rayo Vallecano B	8	1	2	5	11:18	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	4:2 ✺
04.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Real Aranjuez	3:5 ✺
27.09.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Siello - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.10.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alcobendas - Rayo Vallecano B	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

San Sebastian Reyes B - Rayo Vallecano B