Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.40	4.50
	1.94	3.15	3.20
	1.61	3.75	4.87
	1.85	3.42	3.92	Watch
	1.59	3.70	4.80
	1.70	3.72	4.65
	1.65	3.45	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.14)	3.51 ↑ (3.13)	4.31 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
53%

Draw
25.9%

Galapagar
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano B's performance.

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galapagar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Ferreres F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 2.

Galapagar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Rayo Vallecano B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano B has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 1.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Vallecano B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Galapagar	7	3	2	2	13:13	0	11
17	Rayo Vallecano B	7	1	1	5	10:17	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Galapagar - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.32%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.09.26	Leganés B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Getafe B - Rayo Vallecano B	4:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.05.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.09.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Galapagar - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Galapagar - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Parla - Galapagar	0:5 ✺
19.04.26	Galapagar - Alcorcón B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.05.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	0:0
18.05.25	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	1:3
16.02.25	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:3
06.10.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	0:1
25.02.24	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2
07.10.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	4:1
12.03.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	1:2

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