Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Ġwann		Melita

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	3.65	3.5	1.75
	3.66	3.47	1.84
	4.55	3.94	1.6
	3.8	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.4)	3.6 ↓ (4)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ġwann
23.1%

Draw
25.1%

Melita
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

21.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ġwann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ġwann than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).

San Ġwann is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melita is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melita is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Ġwann won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Ġwann won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Ġwann FC
Maltese Challenge League
13.11.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Mqabba - San Ġwann	2:3 ✺
01.11.22	San Ġwann - Zejtun Corinthians	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Qrendi - San Ġwann	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	San Ġwann - Marsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
27.11.22	Melita - Mqabba	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
15.11.22	Marsa - Melita	2:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
06.11.22	Zejtun Corinthians - Melita	3:0 ✺
02.11.22	Melita - Qrendi	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Marsa - Melita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
18.02.22	Melita - San Ġwann	0:2
31.10.21	San Ġwann - Melita	0:0
19.12.17	San Ġwann - Melita	1:1

San Ġwann - Melita

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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