Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Marsa		Melita

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Marsa
41%

Draw
27.9%

Melita
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Recent matches Marsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melita is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Melita have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
24.02.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Senglea Athletic - Marsa	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Marsa - Luqa St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLWW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
24.02.24	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Żurrieq - Melita	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Melita - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Melita - Zejtun Corinthians	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Melita - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTW

Marsa - Melita