Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Marsa		Melita

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.2	3.25	2.95	Watch
	2.14	3.08	2.83
	2.18	3.38	2.93
	2.18	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)	3.21 ↑ (3)	2.88 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
41%

Draw
27.9%

Melita
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Preview

Recent matches Marsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melita is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Melita have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
24.02.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Senglea Athletic - Marsa	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Marsa - Luqa St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	St. Andrews - Marsa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLWW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
24.02.24	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Żurrieq - Melita	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Melita - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Melita - Zejtun Corinthians	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Melita - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.10.23	Marsa - Melita	3:3
Maltese FA Trophy
15.11.22	Marsa - Melita	2:3
Maltese Challenge League
30.10.22	Marsa - Melita	0:2
20.04.18	Marsa - Melita	4:4
07.01.18	Melita - Marsa	1:2

Marsa - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide