Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	San Ġwann		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.71	3.65	4
	1.77	3.65	3.95
	1.73	3.76	4.1
	1.65	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)	3.67 ↓ (3.98)	4.07 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ġwann
53.1%

Draw
24.6%

Vittoriosa Stars
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.6%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

19.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ġwann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Ġwann's form might have worsened.

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ġwann than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vittoriosa Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 18 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Ġwann won 3.

Recent matches San Ġwann is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vittoriosa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Ġwann could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Ġwann is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Ġwann won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams San Ġwann won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Ġwann FC
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	San Ġwann - Mġarr United	3:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
08.01.23	Marsaskala - San Ġwann	1:2 ✺
22.12.22	San Ġwann - Tarxien Rainbows	1:4 ✺
17.12.22	Żurrieq - San Ġwann	3:1 ✺
13.12.22	San Ġwann - Swieqi United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
08.01.23	Vittoriosa Stars - Sliema Wanderers	1:2 ✺
20.12.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Naxxar Lions	0:6 ✺
16.12.22	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
13.12.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Attard	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Fgura United - Vittoriosa Stars	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.10.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:1
13.02.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:2
22.10.21	Vittoriosa Stars - San Ġwann	2:1
24.01.21	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1
04.10.20	Vittoriosa Stars - San Ġwann	1:1
28.04.19	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2
16.01.19	Vittoriosa Stars - San Ġwann	2:2

San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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