Match Info

Challenge League - Round 13

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	St. Andrews		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.01
	2.09	3.52	3.03	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3
	2.1	3.32	3.08
	2.05	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	3.03 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
43.1%

Draw
27.3%

Vittoriosa Stars
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Costa C. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Galliano M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 2 - 1, Carabott S. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Boakye S. ⚽,
74', 3 - 2, Costa C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Kessie F. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, Micallef B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 4.

In recent matches, St. Andrews has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vittoriosa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. Andrews could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Andrews won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
13	St. Andrews	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
17.01.26	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	St. Andrews - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWW
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
17.01.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Gudja United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0
Maltese Challenge League
26.02.23	Vittoriosa Stars - St. Andrews	3:1
16.12.22	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0
31.01.21	Vittoriosa Stars - St. Andrews	0:1
18.10.20	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0
11.01.20	Vittoriosa Stars - St. Andrews	1:1

St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide