The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanat Naft 17.2%
Draw 27.6%
Aluminium Arak 55.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13%
26.9%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
26.3%
61.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aluminium Arak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gohari A. (G) 2. Aghajanpour M. 77. Fallah M. 33. Tohidast M. 12. Teymouri M. 6. Taheran A. 8. Zebarjad K. 21. Abbasi M. 10. Rikani T. 78. Karimzadeh M. 7. Seifi M.
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 22. Shahabbasi S. 77. Zolfipour R. 4. Houshmand A. 13. Mahdavi M. 8. Ghanbari A. 5. Nouri A. 11. Vatandoust A. 44. Jafarikia S. 99. Amanipour A. 27. Latifi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Taheran A. ⚽, Zebarjad K. (A),
39', Zebarjad K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shahabbasi S. ↓, Mousavi M. ↑,
54', Vatandoust A. ↓, Jabireh R. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Fallah M. ⚽,
60', Taheran A. 🟨,
61', Mahdavi M. ↓, Latifi A. ↑,
61', Ghanbari A. ↓, Sadeghi S. ↑,
65', Karimzadeh M. 🟨,
66', Houshmand A. 🟨,
67', Amanipour A. ↓, Khodadadian E. ↑,
70', Rikani T. ↓, Baseri M. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Nouri A. ⚽,
84', Houshmand A. 🟥,
90+3', Fallah M. ↓, Mehrabizadeh S. ↑,
90+8', Seifi M. ↓, Kouliyan A. ↑,
90+8', Zebarjad K. ↓, Fakhreddini M. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Azadegan League and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanat Naft won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Sanat Naft (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Aluminium Arak has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aluminium Arak may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Aluminium Arak is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Sanat Naft has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sanat Naft against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Watch
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Gohari A. (G) 
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